​ ​Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya: The Derby of Indonesia

Arema FC VS Persebaya Surabaya Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time: 28-04-2026 16:30 Tuesday

Strength Comparison
The context of this match is defined by the league table. Arema FC sits in 1st place with 58 points, leading the title race by a narrow margin. They have been in excellent form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches. Their home form is particularly formidable, with 9 wins and 1 draw in their last 10 home games. Their attacking play has been clinical, scoring 18 goals in their last 6 games.

Persebaya Surabaya, on the other hand, finds itself in 2nd place with 56 points. They are in a strong position to challenge for the title, but the gap to the leaders is crucial. Their away form has been solid, with 6 wins and 3 draws in their last 10 away matches. However, their recent form has been slightly less consistent than Arema's, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 matches. Their defense has shown some vulnerability, especially against high-pressing teams.

Head-to-Head
Historically, this fixture is one of the most heated rivalries in Asian football. In the last 10 encounters, Arema FC has won 4, Persebaya has won 3, and there have been 3 draws. The matches are often tight and low-scoring.

Most importantly, Persebaya Surabaya defeated Arema FC 2-1 in the first leg of this season's fixture. This recent victory has shifted the psychological balance, proving that Persebaya can overcome the "Kanjuruhan" atmosphere and giving them a significant confidence boost heading into this crucial game.

Key Factors
Several key factors will likely decide the outcome of this high-stakes match:

Arema's Home Advantage: Arema FC's incredible record at the Kanjuruhan Stadium will be their biggest asset. The passionate home crowd can provide a significant boost and put pressure on the visitors.
Arema's Attacking Form: The emergence of young forward Rafael Silva has been a game-changer for Arema. He has scored 8 goals in his last 7 matches and is a constant threat to any defense.
Persebaya's Defensive Solidity: Persebaya Surabaya boasts one of the best defenses in the league. Key defenders like Arfan and Rizky Ridho have been in excellent form, making them difficult to break down.
Psychological Pressure: Both teams are under immense pressure, but Arema's slight edge in the table and superior home form could give them the confidence to push for a win.

Expert Prediction
Given the circumstances, Arema FC appears to have a slight edge. Their strong recent form, combined with their formidable home record, points towards a home victory or at least a draw. Persebaya's defensive strength will make it difficult, but Arema's attacking momentum, led by the in-form Silva, should be enough to secure a result.

Persebaya's recent unbeaten streak shows they are in good form, but facing Arema at their fortress of a stadium is a different challenge altogether. A hard-fought match is expected.

Prediction: Arema FC to win or draw. A 2-1 victory for the home side or a 1-1 draw are the most likely outcomes in this tense top-of-the-table battle.